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In a surprising turn of events, Joe Biden is now neck and neck with Donald Trump in the race for the US presidency, according to the latest data from Betfair. This marks the first time in months that Biden has caught up with Trump, challenging the latter’s long-held position as the favorite in the betting markets. Despite Trump’s dominance since September, buoyed by favorable odds after a Supreme Court ruling allowed him on the Colorado ballot, the tide appears to be shifting, a Daily Mail report said.
The betting data, drawn from speculators rather than bookmaker odds, indicates an even match between the two, suggesting a significant shift in public sentiment.Betfair’s update shows a spike in Biden’s popularity among bettors, potentially positioning him as the odds-on favorite to win the presidency in November. Sam Rosbottom, a Betfair spokesperson, highlighted the volatile nature of the US Election market, noting that while Trump has led for the past seven months, Biden’s recent backing could signal a change in favor.
However, Trump has gained the upper hand over President Biden in six out of seven key battleground states, driven by widespread voter discontent with the national economy and significant concerns regarding Biden’s effectiveness and performance in office, according to a recent Wall Street Journal survey.
This WSJ survey, focusing on the election’s most fiercely contested states, reveals Trump securing leads ranging from 2 to 8 percentage points in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. These advantages persist in scenarios that both include and exclude third-party and independent candidates, indicating a consistent preference for Trump over Biden among voters.
Despite securing the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday, Trump faces several legal challenges, including a criminal trial in New York and potential Supreme Court rulings. Meanwhile, polls present a mixed picture; while some suggest Trump’s lead in battleground states, others show Biden leading in Pennsylvania, his birth state.
Voters express concerns about Biden’s age but also regard him as more trustworthy than Trump. A Mail/JL Partners poll reveals that while many remember a stronger economy under Trump, a significant portion feels their life was better during his tenure. However, the election’s outcome may hinge on independent voters, reflecting the deep partisan divide but also the potential for swing votes to tip the scales.



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